siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1833954.html

The internet is full of people enraged by the US CDC's reduction – and all but elimination – of isolation guidelines for COVID, pointing out that the CDC's new guidelines seem to be more about what is good for "the economy" – which is to say, good for business interests – than what is good for the health of the people.

I don't think anyone's wrong to be enraged. Nothing that I am about to say is meant to make anyone feel better about the CDC's decision. I do not explain this as any kind of excuse.

There is a sense in which the CDC's decision is right. Not good, mind you, but correct: it brings their guidance back into alignment with our larger society's beliefs about the value of human life and health.

Ours has never been a society that has particularly highly valued the health and well-being of the people of it... Read more [2,460 words] )

This post brought to you by the 201 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1829989.html

This was a thread I originally declaimed over on Mastodon, to the lords and ladies of the Fediverse, of what is past, or passing, or to come.

So that's the original audience. You, loyal readers, may also find it interesting.

It has been lightly edited, structured, and translated from the original plain text into HTML.







0.

There are two problems that are coming for Mastodon of which apparently an awful lot of people are unaware. These problems are coming for Mastodon not because of anything specific to Mastodon: they come to all growing social media platforms. But for some reason most people haven't noticed them, per se.

The first problem is that scale has social effects. Most technical people know that scale has technological effects. Same thing's true on the social side, too.

For instance, consider the questions "How likely, statistically speaking, are you to run into your boss on this social media platform?" and "How likely, statistically speaking, are you to run into your mother on the social media platform?" While obviously there is wide individual variation based on personal circumstances, in general the answer to those questions is going to be a function of how widespread adoption is in one's communities.

Thing is, people behave differently on a social media platform when they think they might run into their boss there. People behave differently when they think they might run into their mother.

And it's not just bosses and mothers, right? I just use those as obvious examples that have a lot of emotional charge. People also behave differently depending on whether or not they think their next-door neighbors will be there (q.v. Nextdoor.com).

How people behave on a social media platform turns out to be a function of whom they expect to run into – and whom they actually run into! – on that social media platform. And that turns out to be a function of how penetrant adoption is in their communities.

And a problem here is that so many assume that the behavior of users of a given social media platform is wholly attributable to the features and affordances of that social media platform!

It's very easy to mistake what are effects of being a niche or up-and-coming platform for something the platform is getting right in its design.... Read more [7,670 words] )

This post brought to you by the 199 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1821984.html

This was originally posted to Mastodon here. Slight changes have been made and further commentary added.




This is a true story.

In 2014, I happened to be on site at a software development company, where I wound up being a proverbial fly on the wall during a notable conversation.

I was being shown around by the head of technical documentation, and had just been introduced to the head of engineering. Maybe he was a VP, I don't recall. Anyways, he decided that was the occasion, with me, random contractor standing in front of him, to engage the head of technical documentation in a conversation about how there might be layoffs coming, and he was of the opinion that they should probably lay off his division's tech writers, and make the software developers write their own documentation, to save money.

The head of technical documentation was, of course, flabbergasted and appalled, but substantially outranked, and she had to be diplomatic in her response, tying her hands – and her tongue. Also she was caught somewhat by surprise by this fascinating proposal.

Unbeknownst to me, while this conversation was happening and I was supposed to be being onboarded, my contract was in the process of falling through, because the disorganization of this organization was so high, the parties who had extended me the offer were unaware the organization had put a stop order on retaining new contractors.

And to this day I lament that I did not know that fact, because I was being on my best behavior, and in retrospect I really wish I hadn't been. Because what I was biting my tongue rather than say was...[5,020 words] )

This post brought to you by the 160 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1814892.html



0.

Oh, dear. To talk about AI, we're going to have to talk about religion.

I'm an atheist. To a first approximation, that means I don't believe any gods exist.

But it would be more accurate to say I don't believe any gods exist yet.

Because if there is anything an American childhood spent soaking in science fiction has taught me, it's that there's nothing modern human beings so desperately, ardently want as gods. So they will stop at nothing to build one.

Gods come in two basic flavors... [4,420 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 161 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1812843.html

It all started when I decided I wanted to know the origin of the expression "male chauvinist".

I have no idea if the young among you have ever heard this expression. It was very idiomatic back in the 1970s and 1980s. It's basically means "someone who is sexist" or "male supremacist". It was strongly associated with the second wave feminist movement, which promulgated the term.

I think it might be a super useful term to revive, for reasons. Thing is, the more you think about the term "male chauvinist", the weirder it is.

The dictionary is happy to tell you... (Read more [6,880 Words]) )

This post brought to you by the 161 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1809675.html


[Content warning: I will, alas, necessarily be discussing specific examples of hateful stereotypes, and not just of Jews. Also: sexism, racism, homophobia, and transphobia.]




0.

Different oppressions are different. This is not a radical notion. You've certainly heard the idea before, and you've heard the idea that because of this it's bad to compare oppressions – the assumption being "compare" means engaging in "oppression olympics", which is to say, arguing which minority has it worse.

But there's another sense in which comparing oppressions isn't just okay, I would argue it's absolutely critical: not who has it worse, but how different oppressions work.

Because here's the thing: different oppressions interoperate.

You kind of know this already: you are aware of the concept of "model minorities". You probably have some awareness of how model minority status is used to pit racial and ethnic minorities against one another, to thwart any inclinations they might have to solidarity with one another.

You might not have really thought about it, but that implies something about the different kinds of oppression the different groups are subjected to.

Read more [6,390 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 160 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
The following are excerpts from the excellent essay "The Deep Archeology of Fox News" by Josh Marshall at Talking Points Memo (2023 Mar 3), which is behind a paywall:
The evidence emerging from the Dominion lawsuit against Fox News has the quality of liberal fever dreams. What’s the worst you can possibly imagine about Fox? What’s the most cartoonish caricature, the worst it could possibly be? Well, in these emails and texts you basically have that. Only it’s real. It’s not anyone believing the worst and giving no benefit of the doubt. This is what Fox is.

In a moment like this it’s worth stepping way, way back, not just to the beginning of Fox News in 1996 but to the beginning of the broader countermovement it was a part of and even a relatively late entry to.

Back in the 1950s and 1960s there was something historians and critics of the time called the post-war liberal consensus. It was not liberal in ways we’d recognize today. Indeed, it wasn’t liberal in many ways actual liberals of the time recognized. But it did represent an important level of elite consensus about state intervention in the economy and openness to a more restrained version of the American state created by the reformist periods of the first half of the 20th century.

Though what was then sometimes called “the race question” was “complicated” and not something that could be resolved overnight, there was also in elite opinion a general assumption that the South’s system of legalized apartheid was a source of embarrassment and something from the past that the country had to outgrow, even if not any time soon. (Just as is the case today, what is actually more properly called cosmopolitanism was sometimes misportrayed as liberalism: a general belief in pluralism, values tied to cities and urban life.)

I mention all this because, in the early 1950s and 1960s, what we now recognize as the embryonic modern conservative movement could rightly sense that there were assumptions embedded in elite culture that viewed certain of their core values and aims as backward, retrograde, archaic. When the early founders of modern “movement” conservatism looked at America’s elite consensus, they saw a set of assumptions and beliefs embedded in many elite institutions that ran counter to their aims and values. And they were not totally wrong.

Over the course of the 1960s and 1970s they set about trying to build a series of counter-institutions, ones that wouldn’t, in their mind, have their sails angled permanently toward the winds of liberalism. One key moment in this story was the founding of The Heritage Foundation in 1973. Heritage was founded to be the counter to the “liberal” Brookings Institution. But Heritage was never anything like Brookings, even though in the D.C. of the ’80s and ’90s they were routinely portrayed as counterpoints — one representing liberalism and the other conservatism. Brookings was mainstream, stodgy, quasi-academic. Heritage was thoroughly ideological and partisan. In practice it was usually little more than a propaganda mill for the right. This pattern was duplicated countless times. The “liberal” Washington Post was matched by The Washington Times. Fox News, which didn’t come along for another generation, was not so much the answer to CNN as to CBS News, the iconic broadcast news organization of the first decades of the Cold War.

What we see today in Fox News is most of the story: a purported news organization that knowingly and repeatedly reports lies to its viewers, whose chief executive brazenly works with and assists one party’s candidates by sharing confidential information about the other. [...]

Here we get to the nub of the issue. Because this is not the entirety of the story. One of the things that is clear from the very start of the conservative movement was a basic failure to quite understand the thing they rallied themselves against [...] None of the organizations that the right took issue with — the think tanks, the news publications, the movie studios, the nonprofits, the book publishers — were ideological, let alone partisan, organizations. When the founders of modern conservatism looked at CBS News they saw the shock troops of liberalism and the Democratic Party. Same with Brookings and the Washington Post and all the rest. And when they went to build their own versions of these institutions they patterned them off their own cartoonish understandings of how these operations functioned. The idea that institutions like CBS News or The New York Times were, whatever their faults and unexamined biases, fundamentally rooted in an ethic of news gathering and reporting was really totally lost on them.

So how do we get from this elemental misunderstanding to the raw and casual lying of the Fox of today? Well, that’s the thing: we don’t. Both were there from the very start. It’s all but impossible to disentangle the culture clash, the inability and refusal to really grasp what these institutions were, and the more open culture of propaganda, lying and mendacity. They’re fused together so tightly that getting your head around the relationship between them is more a matter of meditative absorption than anything that can be processed or explained discursively.

[...]
If you want to read the whole thing, you can pay to access it; alternatively, @jayrosen_nyu@mastodon.social has posted about it graciously including a guest link. If you go to his Mastodon post here, https://mastodon.social/@jayrosen_nyu/109966217307755528, you should be able to click through to the article (it's the second link) and read the whole thing.

I have many thoughts about this, both quibbles and amplifications.

One of those thoughts is that it can be explained discursively: I just, coincidentally, did. The "conservative" project – meaning this thing that Marshall here identifies as starting in the 1950s – has always been to shape social truths by arguing them into existence, including by lying.

I have had a huge post brewing in the back of my head for longer than I've had a Patreon account on the topic of cosmopolitanism and its enemies, and another (or maybe another dozen) about the conservative movement that arose in the US in the 1950s (and arguably earlier) that Marshall here alludes to.

Frances Fitzgerald wrote a thing that blew my mind when I read it, about which I've been meaning to write since forever, which is about exactly the same rise of the religious right in the 1950s in the US. It was the final chapter of her Cities on a Hill, which was published in 1987. I'll not unpack it now, and just say that's a book absolutely worth reading. I found it an emotionally challenging read in the best way.
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1805095.html

There are two kinds of truth. One of them we can call social truth: there are things that are so, simply because we agree, in our society, that that is so.

Read more [5,220 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 159 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1804400.html

The following is a series of "toots" (tweets) I made on Mastodon, lightly edited, in general response to the trending topic of punching Nazis, which had emerged again in the more general topic of reports that a neo-Nazi group in the US has called for a national day of violence against Jewish targets tomorrow, Sat Feb 25.

Note! It turns out this report has been exaggerated by the grapevine: apparently the neo-Nazis are calling for a day of vandalism against buildings, not violence against people. That said, this sort of boundary pushing is often a prelude to violence against people, both in general, and very specifically among antisemites. Discussion as to why for another day.

I feel a need to apologize that it's a bit shouty. This is not the style I usually employ here on DW. Mastodon doesn't support rich text, so one needs to employ a style there that does not rest upon bold face and italic. When all one has is capital letters, perforce one must engage in capitalism.*





Alright everybody, it's time I share my feelings about punching Nazis.

I'm against it.

Punching people can kill them. Dumb schmucks wind up doing hard time for murder because they thought it was "just a bar fight" and someone winds up dead. You should never punch somebody unless you are ready to kill them.

And if you mean to kill Nazis, jesus fucking christ, don't pummel them with your meat clubs like some sort of ape. Be a motherfucking grownup and SHOOT THEM WITH A GUN.

Now, I can hear some of you thinking, "But, Siderea, what about stabbing Nazis with knives?" [1,150 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 159 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
0)

2023 Jan 05: Vice: "A Total Amateur May Have Just Rewritten Human History With Bombshell Discovery" (by Becky Ferreira).

Summary: a paper was published in the journal Cambridge Archeological Journal presenting a compelling argument that what were previously taken to be just decorative markings or possibly counts of animals (the markings being by paintings of animals) in prehistoric European cave paintings are actually indicative of a lunar calendar, pushing back the date of earliest known writing "by tens of thousands of years". Link to the actual academic paper by Ben Bacon in the Vice article.

1)

2022 Dec 19: self-published on Academia.edu (reg wall): "Musical Structure of Geometric Elamite [PDF]" (by Melissa Elliot aka 0xabad1dea). Announced here: https://twitter.com/0xabad1dea/status/1604919042690555904 , PDF may also be available without reg here.

Summary: A relatively recently discovered ancient writing system, called Geometic Elamite (found along side what is called Linear Elamite), on tablets found in Iran, has been dated to 2,000 to 2,500 BCE, and has "resisted linguistic explanation". A paper has been self published that makes a compelling case that Geometic Elamite is a notation for music, thereby pushing back the earliest date for known musical notation somewhere between five hundred and a thousand years.

Fellow music geeks will appreciate the thoroughness of the paper, and fellow computer geeks will appreciate the use of computational methods of analysis.

Here's the author's soundcloud – though she requests you at least look at her paper first, to contextualize the audio before listening to it: Geometric Elamite (by 0xabad1dea aka Melissa Elliot)

2)

Both papers are, delightfully, by learned amateurs who reached out to academics for assistance and collaboration. I am delighted that both discoveries start with the question, "What might the people who made these marks have plausibly been trying to communicate by them?" to get past the conventional and unsatisfactory hypotheses which had yielded no decodings.

Of himself, Bacon, the author of the paper on a lunar calendar among the cave paintings said he is "effectively a person off the street". He's a furniture conservator by trade – meaning he's not without some background in history and meticulousness and respect for decorative material objects.

As you might expect from someone with the online handle "0xabad1dea", Elliot, the author of the Geometric Elamite paper is from the technologist side of the house, self-describing as "professional source code complainer" and found on infosec.exchange. I am utterly charmed that someone who is apparently a (blackhat?!) hacker decided to turn her ninja magelord decryption powers on 4k year old notation in her spare time, and just kinda knocked it down, like you do, by treating it as an encryption challenge.
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1800770.html



0.

I wrote a series, The Great Age of Plagues, setting out the case for expecting a dramatic increase in the rate of infectious disease outbreaks. I was asked what advice I had for dealing with what is coming.

I thought a lot about this, and I wrote a lot about it, and I eventually came to realize that what I really had to say about it is this.

I would propose that the most important asset for surviving in the world as it is becoming rests between your ears. (Read more [5,380 words]) )

This post brought to you by the 159 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Poll #28363 When did you know (COVID-19)?
Open to: Registered Users, detailed results viewable to: Just the Poll Creator, participants: 170

When in the course of the COVID pandemic did you FIRST learn/hear about about "the novel coronavirus"/COVID-19?

During the initial outbreak in Wuhan (Jan 2020 into Feb 2020)
137 (80.6%)

When the outbreak first spread to other countries (mid-Feb 2020)
28 (16.5%)

When lockdowns started in the US and UK (Mar 2020)?
1 (0.6%)

Other (please specify in comments)
4 (2.4%)

How did you FIRST learn/hear about "the novel coronavirus"/COVID-19?

News media
81 (48.5%)

Social contacts on Twitter (not news outlets)
16 (9.6%)

Social contacts on Facebook (not news outlets)
4 (2.4%)

From one's employer
5 (3.0%)

From coworkers
8 (4.8%)

From professional contacts in public health, epidemiology, medicine, etc
3 (1.8%)

Metafilter
0 (0.0%)

Reddit
2 (1.2%)

YouTube
2 (1.2%)

From friends or family who work in public health, epidemiology, medicine, etc
2 (1.2%)

From friends or family who do not work in public health, epidemiology, medicine, etc
10 (6.0%)

From in-person social contacts
4 (2.4%)

From this journal
10 (6.0%)

From other DW journals
3 (1.8%)

Other (please specify in comments)
17 (10.2%)

When did you realize "the novel coronavirus"/COVID-19 was or would become pandemic?

First half of Jan 2020
16 (9.5%)

Second half of Jan 2020
21 (12.4%)

First half of Feb 2020
34 (20.1%)

Second half of Feb 2020
48 (28.4%)

First half of Mar 2020
31 (18.3%)

Second half of Mar 2020
12 (7.1%)

First half of Apr 2020
1 (0.6%)

Second half of Apr 2020
2 (1.2%)

Other (please specify in the comments)
4 (2.4%)

What occasioned your realizing that the "novel coronavirus"/COVID-19 was or would become pandemic?

siderea: (Default)
Hey, I'm working on a post for which it would be useful, maybe, to have this information, and I was wondering if anybody happened to have it to hand or know where to find it or want to go off on a research goose chase into the anthropology of music.

It's a question about part singing. That is, singing in "four part harmony" – or any number of parts greater than one – in the Western musical tradition.

Note that sometimes this is called "choral singing", but there's part singing that is not choral, there are part singers not members of any chorus or other vocal ensemble, the term "chorus" encodes some limiting assumptions about the social context of part singing (choruses), and there's, technically, choral singing that's not part singing. I'm actually curious about part singing in particular, but "choral singing" can be a reasonable proxy for it.

I have an abundance of anecdotal and circumstantial evidence suggesting very different statuses of this practice in three English-speaking countries: the United States, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The evidence I have, such as it is, suggests that on a per capital basis, part singers are considerably more common in the UK population than the US population, and way, way more common in South Africa.

How much more common? Famously, there was a documentary about the anti-Aparteid movement in SA titled, "Amandla! A Revolution in Four Part Harmony." Videos of mass protest marches show entire marches singing in harmony as they marched. The national anthem of South Africa has an official arrangement (harmonization), and I've seen videos of sports games in South Africa where during the national anthem, it seemed the audience sang along in parts.

(As a side note, doing this research, Google was like, "Oh, hey, uh, would you be interested in a paper titled 'South African Music in History of Epidemics' (Okigbo 2017)?" ...yes. Yes I suppose I am. I haven't read it yet.)

I've found all sorts of things which allude to the remarkable prevalence of part singing traditions in SA – here's an article about an American college chorus that went to SA because of its choral activity: "'In South Africa,' explains Wells, 'communal singing happens with a frequency and an energy that is remarkable. There is a vigor and value of singing in daily life there that is very different from singing here in the United States.'" – but what I haven't got is anything that actually establishes the difference as an objective fact, ideally with some sort of measurement. I'll take anything, even proxy measures – choruses per capita, average size of choruses – but actual population surveys of part singing experience/expertise would be ideal.

So can anybody help me with some source(s) that actually establishes whether substantially more people, per capita, can/do sing in part harmony in SA than the UK and/or US?

Sources that compare the UK to US also useful.

I suppose if you have exactly this information about other nations, sure, I'd like that too.
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1794256.html

[Special content warning: discussion of existential threats to humanity. Highly depressogenic content. This might not be the best thing to read if you're given to despair or if despair is unsafe for you. Maybe give this post a pass if you are not in a place, emotionally, to handle it.]

Previous: Part 4: Climate Change, II



21.

It's begun.

There's an argument to be made that it started – slowly, slowly – in the mid-20th century when HIV first crossed into the human population. Arguably, it started with SARS. Arguably, it started with COVID-19.

Inarguably, it has started. Ed Yong, of the Atlantic, called this dawning age "the ‘Pandemicene’". I call it the Great Age of Plagues.

As I have set forth in the foregoing posts.... Read more [4,100 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 161 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1784301.html


[Special content warning: discussion of existential threats to humanity. Highly depressogenic content. This might not be the best thing to read if you're given to despair or if despair is unsafe for you. Maybe give this post a pass if you are not in a place, emotionally, to handle it.]


Previous: Part 1. Population




6.

So the more of us humans there are, the more vulnerable we are to outbreaks of infectious disease; indeed the more evolutionarily adapted we, as a species, are to survival strategies of forming large groups and enjoying their economies of scale and network effects and so on, the more interdependent we become, the more densely connected our social graphs, and the harder it is for us to socially isolate, and thus the more vulnerable we are to contagion.

Enter Covid-19.

Covid-19 is not just terrible because it kills people and is tremendously contagious and it got a year's head start on our species before we had a vaccine.

Covid-19 may be exceptionally terrible because it may be a disease that leads to increased vulnerability to other diseases.

It wouldn't be the first one.... Read more [5,470 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 165 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1781536.html


[Special content warning applies]



0.

Way back in June of 2020, I wrote:
Some of you are asking, "But, for how long? How long do we have to live like this?" If you're asking the question, the answer is "forever".
A whole bunch of people wrote anxious comments asking me if I meant that I didn't think Covid was ever going away. More than are visible, because I screened many of them.

I decided not to answer with my real answer at that time. It was pretty clear a lot of people were absolutely not emotionally prepared for it.

My answer was neither that I thought Covid was going away nor that I didn't think Covid was going away.

My answer was, "Covid? Who's talking about Covid?"




1.

I strongly suspect we have entered what future ages, should they exist, might look back and term the Great Age of Plagues.

I don't want to overstate my confidence here, but I also don't want to understate it. In my capacity as your friendly neighborhood oracle, I feel I would be remiss not to bring this to your attention, because if I am right, it will affect the entire rest of all of our lives.

Normally, one predicts the future by going, "If this goes on..." Alas, this is not that. Would that it were. This is a, "If these go on..."

Any one of these three trends alone would presage a rise in infectious illness in our species, but together they make a perfect storm.

They are: population, COVID-19, and climate change.






What follows is a discussion of these three factors, serialized across a number of posts. They are meant to be read as a single work, though, understandably, you may want to take breaks between the sections for obvious reasons.

Special content advisory:

This series of posts is approximately 100% nightmare fuel. It is a catalogue of horrors and accompanying discussion of their imminencies.

This is highly depressogenic content. This might not be the best thing to read if you're given to despair. While I'm not going to tell you what you can and can't read, I would suggest that if you are particularly vulnerable to psychiatric consequences of despair this is not a safe thing for you to engage with. And even those of you who have no particular reason to expect negative medical consequences may want to give these posts a pass if you are not in a place, emotionally, to grapple with them.



The Great Age of Plagues
Table of Contents





Patreon Banner


This post brought to you by the 165 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1773806.html

There's a thing you probably have encountered and maybe haven't really registered as it went by. It usually plays out like this. Somebody else takes a noun phrase – usually there's an adjective or two involved, sometimes multiple nouns – that seems perfectly ordinary and makes sense on the face of it, and which refers to something in the real world, and the speaker makes some bold assertion about it that strikes you as really weird, and possibly highly prejudicial. What they've said leaves you thinking, "wait, how could that possibly be true?"

That's all you get. That's all the sign of what's happening. That's the glitch in the matrix.

There's a lot of reasons that people make ridiculous claims about all sorts of things, and you will always be tempted to write it off as just ridiculous people saying ridiculous things and thinking no more about it.

But if you can catch yourself in that moment, and not reflexively dismiss it as silliness, you could, instead, ask yourself: "Hey, is that noun phrase maybe a technical term of art which means something much more specific and possibly quite different from what the individual words literally mean?"

Doing this? Is a super power. Lots of people can recognize specific technical terms that they are acquainted with. Few people cultivate the more general ability to recognize – or just suspect – that a noun phrase is a technical term they aren't familiar with.

Read more.... [3,770 Words] )

This post brought to you by the 172 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
And to think, I had been going to write a post explaining this.

This is, if not everything I feel about psychological research, a core part of what, shall we say, establishes the level of esteem in which I hold it.

https://xkcd.com/2652/
Our work has produced great answers. Now someone just needs to figure out which questions they go with.
https://xkcd.com/2652/
siderea: (Default)
Canonical link: https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1766175.html

0.

Someone recently asked me, in regards to my pestilence tag, whether I also had tags for war, famine, and death as well.

To which I replied, May 27, 2022, "Soon."

1.

A whole lot of people in the US are now talking about the likelihood of civil war. Now, I haven't seen anyone explain why they think (or feel) that is likely, but I can explain why I think it's likely, or at least much more plausible.

For those who haven't heard in all the general tumult... Read more [2,060 of my words + extensive quotes = 4,240 words] )

This post brought to you by the 175 readers who funded my writing it – thank you all so much! You can see who they are at my Patreon page. If you're not one of them, and would be willing to chip in so I can write more things like this, please do so there.

Please leave comments on the Comment Catcher comment, instead of the main body of the post – unless you are commenting to get a copy of the post sent to you in email through the notification system, then go ahead and comment on it directly. Thanks!
siderea: (Default)
How do you make yourself useful to other people on the internet? What's your contribution to the internet?

About

Artisanal wisdom prepared by hand in small batches from only the finest, locally sourced, organic insights.

Not homogenized • Superlative clarity • Excellently thought provoking

Telling you things you didn't know you knew & pointing out things that you didn't know that you didn't know since at least 2004.

March 2024

S M T W T F S
     12
34 5 6789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930
31      

Syndicate

RSS Atom